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Why Empire Fell?
When did the Roman empire end? It is
still possible to find history books that give a very precise answer to this
question. The curtain came down on the Roman empire, so it is usually claimed,
on 4 September 476, when a young man by the name of Romulus Augustulus was
formally stripped of the imperial purple by a Gothic chieftain and packed off
to retirement near Naples. The accident of his name, in this particular version
of Rome’s fall, provides the perfect bookend to a thousand years and more of
the Roman story. Romulus, after all, had been the founder of the Eternal City,
Augustus her first emperor. Now, with the deposition of Augustulus – “the
little Augustus” – the line of emperors had come to an end. The light-switch
had been turned off. Antiquity was over; the Dark Ages had begun…
The Iowa caucus results may
have brought a brief reprise from full-scale panic mode among political elites,
but there’s no denying that the terrain we’re on now looks nothing like what
anyone expected a year ago.
It’s not just the babbling punditocracy that’s been caught with its
pants down this election cycle. As Nick Gass noted at
Politico recently, Trump’s resilience has confused and confounded political
scientists as well—in particular by challenging the thesis of the “seminal 2008
book ‘The Party Decides,'” as Gass calls it. The book’s thesis is fairly
straightforward—that for the last several decades, at least, it’s party
insiders, not voters, who determine parties’ presidential nominees. By those
lights 2016 was always going to be a Bush-Clinton battle of the political
dynasties, so it’s not just Trump, but Sanders as well who’s threatening those
certainties...
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