Chapter 6
Realism
By
Tim Dunne, Brian C. Schmidt
Introduction: the
timeless wisdom of realism
One realism, or
many?
Conclusion: realism
and the globalization of world politics
Reader's Guide
Realism is the dominant theory of
international relations. Why? Because it provides the most powerful
explanation for the state of war that is the regular condition of life in the
international system. This is the bold claim made by realists in defence of
their tradition, a claim that will be critically examined in this chapter.
After introducing the theory of realism, the second section will ask whether
there is one realism or a variety of realisms. The argument presented below is that
despite important differences, particularly between classical and structural
realism, it is possible to identify a shared set of core assumptions and ideas.
The third section outlines these common elements, which we identify as self-
help, statism, and survival. In the final section, we return to the question of
how far realism is relevant for explaining or understanding the globalization
of world politics.What is Realism?
In philosophy, realism is the belief that reality lies outside of the human mind; it is the focus on things that can be observed as well as things that exist independently of what the human mind believes to be true...
Introduction: the timeless wisdom
of realism
According
to the conventional wisdom, realism emerged victorious over idealism in the field’s first Great Debate. Writing in
the aftermath of the First World War, the ‘idealists’ (a term that realist
writers have retrospectively imposed on the inter-war scholars) focused much of
their attention on understanding the cause of war so as to find a remedy for
its existence. Yet the realists argued that the inter-war scholars’ approach
was flawed in a number of respects. For example, they ignored the role of
power, overestimated the degree to which nation-states shared a set of common interests, and were overly
optimistic that humankind could overcome the scourge of war. The outbreak of
the Second World War in 1939 confirmed, for the realists at least, the
inadequacies of the idealists’ approach to studying international politics.
A new approach, one based on the timeless
insights of realism, replaced the discredited idealist approach. Histories of
the academic field of International Relations describe a Great Debate that took
place in the late 1930s and early 1940s between the inter-war idealists and a
new generation of realist writers who all emphasized the ubiquity of power and
the competitive nature of politics among nations (Schmidt
2012). The standard account of the Great Debate is that the realists emerged
victorious, and from 1939 to the present many theorists and policy-makers have
continued to view the world through realist lenses. Realism taught foreign
policy officials to focus on interests rather than on ideology, to seek peace
through strength, and to recognize that great powers can coexist even if they
have antithetical values and beliefs. The fact that realism offers something
of a ‘manual’ for maximizing the interests of the state in
a hostile environment explains in part why it remains the dominant tradition in
the study of world politics. The theory of realism that prevailed after the
Second World War is often claimed to rest on an older, classical tradition of
thought. Indeed, many contemporary realist writers often claim to be part of an
ancient tradition of thought that includes such illustrious figures as
Thucydides (c. 460-406 BC), Niccolo Machiavelli (1469-1527), Thomas Hobbes
(1588-1679), and Jean-Jacques Rousseau (1712-78).
The insights that these political
theorists offered into the way in which state leaders should conduct themselves
in the realm of international politics are often grouped under the doctrine of raison
d’etat, or reason of state. According to the historian Friedrich Meinecke, raison
d’etat is the fundamental principle of international conduct, the state’s
First Law of Motion. ‘It tells the statesman what he must do to preserve the
health and strength of the State’ (1957: 1). Most importantly, the state,
which is identified as the key actor in international politics, must pursue
power, and it is the duty of the statesperson to calculate rationally the most
appropriate steps that should be taken so as to perpetuate the life of the
state in a hostile and threatening environment. The survival of the state can
never be guaranteed, because the use of force culminating in war is a
legitimate instrument of statecraft. As we shall see, the assumption that the
state is the principal actor, coupled with the view that the environment that
states inhabit is a perilous place, helps to define the essential core of
realism. There is, however, one issue in particular that theorists associated
with raison d’etat, and classical realism more generally, were concerned
with: the role, if any, that morals and ethics occupy in international
politics.
Realists are sceptical of the idea that
universal moral principles exist, and therefore warn state leaders against
sacrificing their own self-interests in order to adhere to some indeterminate
notion of ‘ethical’ conduct. Moreover, realists argue that the need for
survival requires state leaders to distance themselves from traditional
notions of morality. Machiavelli argued that these principles were positively
harmful if adhered to by state leaders. It was imperative that state leaders
learned a different kind of morality, which accorded not with traditional
Christian virtues but with political necessity and prudence. Proponents of raison
d’etat often speak of a dual
moral standard: one moral standard for
individual citizens living inside the state and a different standard for the
state in its external relations with other states. But before we reach the
conclusion that realism is completely immoral, it is important to add that
proponents of raison d’etat argue that the state itself represents a
moral force, for it is the existence of the state that creates the possibility
for an ethical political community
to exist domestically.
Although the advanced student might be able to detect some subtle differences, it is fair to say that there is a significant degree of continuity between classical realism and modern variants. Indeed, the three core elements that we identify with realism—statism, survival, and self-help—are present in the work of a classical realist such as Thucydides and structural realists such as Kenneth Waltz.
Although the advanced student might be able to detect some subtle differences, it is fair to say that there is a significant degree of continuity between classical realism and modern variants. Indeed, the three core elements that we identify with realism—statism, survival, and self-help—are present in the work of a classical realist such as Thucydides and structural realists such as Kenneth Waltz.
Realism identifies the group as the
fundamental unit of political analysis. When Thucydides and Machiavelli were
writing, the basic unit was the polis or city-state, but since the Peace
of Westphalia (1648) realists consider the sovereign state as the principal
actor in international politics. This is often referred to as the state-centric
assumption of realism. Statism is the term given to the idea of the state as
the legitimate representative of the collective will of the people. The legitimacy
of the state is what enables it to exercise authority within its domestic
borders. Yet outside the boundaries of the state realists argue that a
condition of anarchy exists. By anarchy, what is most often meant is that
international politics takes place in an arena that has no overarching central
authority above the individual collection of sovereign states. Thus, rather
than necessarily denoting chaos and lawlessness, the concept of anarchy is
used by realists to emphasize the point that the international realm is
distinguished by the lack of a central authority.
Following from this, realists draw a sharp
distinction between domestic and international politics. Thus, while Hans J.
Morgenthau argues that ‘international politics, like all politics, is a
struggle for power’, he goes to great lengths to illustrate the qualitatively
different result this struggle has on international politics as compared to
domestic politics ([1948] 1955: 25). A prominent explanation that realists
provide for this difference in behaviour relates to the different
organizational structure of domestic and international politics. Realists
argue that the basic structure of international politics is one of anarchy, in
that each of the independent sovereign states considers itself to be its own
highest authority and does not recognize a higher power. Conversely, domestic
politics is often described as a hierarchical structure in which different
political actors stand in various relations of super- and subordination.
It is largely on the basis of how realists
depict the international environment that they conclude that the first priority
for state leaders is to ensure the survival of their state. Under anarchy, the
survival of the state cannot be guaranteed. Realists correctly assume that all
states wish to perpetuate their existence. Looking
back at history, however, realists note
that the actions of some states have resulted in other states losing their
existence. This is partly explained in light of the power differentials of
states. Intuitively, states with more power stand a better chance of surviving
than states with less power. Power
is crucial to the realist lexicon and has
traditionally been defined narrowly in military strategic terms. Yet,
irrespective of how much power a state may possess, the core national interest of all states must be survival. Like the pursuit of
power, the promotion of the national interest is, according to realists, an
iron law of necessity.
Self-help is the principle of action in an
anarchical system. According to realism, each state actor is responsible for
ensuring its own well-being and survival. Realists do not believe it is
prudent for a state to entrust its safety and survival to another actor or
international institution, such as the United Nations. Unlike in domestic
politics, there is no emergency number that states can dial when they are in
mortal danger.
What options do states have to ensure
their own security? Consistent with the principle of self-help, if a state
feels threatened it should seek to augment its own power by increasing its
military capabilities. Yet this may prove to be insufficient for a number of
smaller states who feel threatened by a much larger state. This brings us to
one of the crucial mechanisms that realists throughout the ages have
considered essential to preserving the liberty of states—the balance of power. Although various meanings have been attributed to the
concept of the balance of power, the most common definition holds that if the
survival of a state is threatened by a hegemonic state or coalition of stronger
states, they should join forces, establish a formal alliance, and seek to
preserve their own independence by checking the power of the opposing side. The
mechanism of the balance of power seeks to ensure an equilibrium of power so
that no one state or coalition of states is in a position to dominate all the
others. The cold war competition between the East and West, as
institutionalized through the formal alliance system of the Warsaw Pact and the North
Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO),
provides a prominent example of the balance of power mechanism in action (see Ch. 4).
The peaceful conclusion of the cold war
caught many realists off guard. The inability to foresee the dynamics that led
to the end of the bipolar cold war system sparked the publication of several
powerful critiques of realist theory. Critics also maintained that realism was
unable to provide a persuasive account of new developments such as regional integration, humanitarian intervention, the emergence of a security community in Western Europe, and the growing importance of
non-state actors (see Chs 7, 17, and
26). In addition, proponents of globalization
argued that realism’s privileged actor, the state, was in decline relative to non-state actors such as transnational
corporations and powerful regional
institutions (see Ch. 19). Critics also contend that realism is unable to explain
the increasing incidence of intra-state wars plaguing the global South. As Box 6.1 discusses,
realists claim that their theory does indeed explain the incidence of
intra-state conflicts. The cumulative weight of these criticisms led many to
question the analytical adequacy of realist thought.
By way of a response to the critics, it is
worth reminding them that the death-knell of realism has been sounded a number
of times already, only to see the resurgence of new forms of realism arise. In
this respect, realism shares with conservatism (its ideological godfather) the
recognition that a theory without the means to change is without the means of
its own preservation. The question of realism’s resilience touches on one of
its central claims, namely that it is the embodiment of laws of international
politics that remain true across time (history) and space (geopolitics). Thus,
while political conditions have changed since the end of the cold war, realists
believe that the world continues to operate according to the logic of realism.
The question of whether realism does embody ‘timeless truths’ about politics
will be returned to in the conclusion of the chapter.
Key Points
Realism has been the dominant theory of
world politics since the beginning of academic International Relations.
Outside the academy, realism has a much
longer history in the work of classical political theorists such as Thucydides,
Machiavelli, Hobbes, and Rousseau.
The unifying theme around which all
realist thinking converges is that states find themselves in the
shadow of anarchy such that their security
cannot be taken for granted.
At the start of the
new millennium, realism continues to attract academicians and inform
policy-makers, although in the period since the end of the cold war we have
seen heightened criticism of realist assumptions.
One realism,
or many?
The notion that there is a monolithic
theory of realism is
increasingly rejected both by those who
are sympathetic to, and those who are critical of, the realist tradition. The
belief that there is not one realism, but many, leads logically to a delineation
of different types of realism. The most simple distinction is a form of
periodization that differentiates realism into three historical periods:
classical realism (up to the twentieth century), which is frequently depicted
as beginning with Thucydides’ history of Peloponnesian War between Athens and
Sparta, and incorporates the ideas of many of those included in the classic
canon of Western political thought; modern realism (1939-79), which typically
takes as its point of departure the First Great Debate between the scholars of
the inter-war period and a new group of scholars who began to enter the field
immediately before and after the Second World War; and structural or
neo-realism (1979 onwards), which officially entered the picture following the
publication of Kenneth Waltz’s Theory of International Politics (1979). While
these different periods suggest a neat historical sequence, they are
problematic in so far as they close down the important question about
divergence within each historical phase. Rather than opt for the neat but
intellectually unsatisfactory system of historical periodization, we outline
below our own representation of realisms that makes important connections with
existing categories deployed by other thinkers in the field. A summary
of the varieties of realism outlined below is contained in Table 6.1.
Classical realism
The classical realist lineage begins with
Thucydides’ representation of power politics as a law of human behaviour. The
drive for power and the will to dominate are held to be fundamental aspects of
human nature. The behaviour of the state as a self-seeking egoist is
understood to be a reflection of the characteristics of human beings. It is
human nature that explains why international politics is necessarily power
politics. This reduction of realism to a condition of human nature is one that
frequently reappears in the leading works of the realist canon, particularly in
the work of Hans J. Morgenthau. Classical realists argue that it is from the
nature of man that the essential features of international politics, such as
competition, fear, and war, can be explained. For both Thucydides and
Morgenthau, the essential continuity of the power-seeking behaviour of states
is rooted in the biological drives of human beings.
Table
6.1 Taxonomy
of realisms
Type of realism
|
Key thinkers
|
Key texts
|
'Big idea'
|
Classical
realism (Human nature)
|
Thucydides
(c. 430-406 BC)
|
The Peloponnesian War
|
International
politics is driven by an endless struggle for power, which has its roots in
human nature. Justice, law, and society have either no place or are
circumscribed.
|
Machiavelli (1532)
|
The
Prince
|
Political
realism recognizes that principles are subordinated to policies; the ultimate
skill of the state leader is to accept, and adapt to, the changing power
political configurations in world politics.
|
|
Morgenthau (1948)
|
Politics among Nations
|
Politics
is governed by laws that are created by human nature. The mechanism we use to
understand international politics is the concept of interests, defined in
terms of power.
|
|
Structural
realism (international
|
Rousseau (c. 1750)
|
The
State of War
|
It
is not human nature but the anarchical system that fosters fear, jealousy,
suspicion, and insecurity.
|
system)
|
Waltz (1979)
|
Theory of International Politics
|
Anarchy
leads to a logic of self-help in which states seek to maximize their
security. The most stable distribution of power in the system is bipolarity.
|
Mearsheimer (2001)
|
Tragedy of Great Power Politics
|
The
anarchical, self-help system compels states to maximize their relative power
positions.
|
|
Neoclassical
realism
|
Zakaria (1998)
|
From
Wealth to Power
|
The
systemic account of world politics provided by structural realism is
incomplete. It needs to be supplemented with better accounts of unit-level
variables such as how power is perceived, and how leadership is exercised.
|
Another distinguishing characteristic of
classical realism is its adherents’ belief in the primordial character of
power and ethics. Classical realism is fundamentally about the struggle for
belonging, a struggle that is often violent. Patriotic virtue is required in
order for communities to survive in this historic battle between good and evil.
Two classical realists who wrestled with the degree to which state leaders
could be guided by ethical considerations were Thucydides and Machiavelli.
Thucydides was the historian of the
Peloponnesian War, a conflict between two great powers in the ancient Greek
world, Athens and Sparta. Thucydides’ work has been admired by subsequent
generations of realists for the insights he raised about many of the perennial
issues of international politics. Thucydides’ explanation of the underlying
cause of the war was ‘the growth of Athenian power and the fear which this
caused in Sparta’ (1.23). This is considered to be a classic example of the
impact that the distribution of power has on the behaviour of state actors. On
this reading, Thucydides makes it clear that Sparta’s national interest, like that of all states, was survival, and the
changing distribution of power represented a direct threat to its existence.
Sparta was, therefore, compelled by necessity to go to war in order to
forestall being vanquished by Athens. Thucydides also makes it clear that
Athens felt equally compelled to pursue power in order to preserve the empire it
had acquired. The famous Athenian leader, Pericles, claimed to be acting on the
basis of the most fundamental of human motivations: ambition, fear, and
self-interest (see Case Study 1).
Classical realists concur with Thucydides’
view that the logic of power politics has universal applicability. Instead of
Athens and Melos, we could just as easily substitute the vulnerability of
Machiavelli’s beloved Florence to the expansionist policies of external great
powers. In Morgenthau’s era, there were many examples where the innate drive
for more power and territory
seemed to confirm the realist iron law.
The seemingly endless cycle of war and conflict confirmed
in the minds of twentieth-century
classical realists the essentially aggressive impulses in human nature. How is
a leader supposed to act in a world animated by such dark forces? The answer
given by Machiavelli is that all obligations and treaties with other states
must be disregarded if the security of the community is under threat. Moreover,
imperial expansion is legitimate as it is a means of gaining greater security.
Other classical realists, however, advocate a more temperate understanding of
moral conduct. Taking their lead from Thucydides, they recognize that acting
purely on the basis of power and self-interest without any consideration of
moral and ethical principles frequently results in self-defeating policies.
After all, as Thucydides showed, Athens suffered an epic defeat while following
its self-interest (see
Case Study 1).
Structural realism
Structural realists concur that
international politics is essentially a struggle for power, but they do not
attribute this to human nature. Instead, structural realists ascribe security
competition and inter-state conflict to the lack of an overarching authority
above states. Waltz defined the structure of the international system in terms
of three elements—organizing principle, differentiation of units, and
distribution of capabilities. Waltz identifies two different organizing
principles: anarchy, which corresponds to the decentralized realm of international
politics; and hierarchy, which is the basis of domestic order. He argues that
the units of the international system are functionally similar sovereign
states; hence unit-level variation is inconsequential. It is the third element,
the distribution of capabilities across units, that is, according to Waltz, of
fundamental importance to understanding crucial international outcomes.
According to structural realists, the relative distribution of power in the
international system is the key independent variable in understanding
important international outcomes such as war and peace, alliance politics, and
the balance of power. Structural realists are interested in providing a
rank-ordering of states so that they can discern the number of great powers
that exist at any particular point in time. The number of great powers, in
turn, determines the overall structure of the international system. For
example, during the cold war from 1945 to 1989 there were two great powers—the
USA and the Soviet Union—that constituted the bipolar international system,
and since the end of the cold war the international system has been unipolar.
How does the international distribution of
power impact the behaviour of states? In the most general sense, Waltz argues
that states, especially the great powers, have to be sensitive to the
capabilities of other states. The possibility that any state may use force to
advance its interests results in all states being worried about their survival.
According to Waltz, power is a means to the end of security. In a significant
passage, Waltz writes: ‘because power is a possibly useful means, sensible
statesmen try to have an appropriate amount of it’. He adds, ‘in crucial situations,
however, the ultimate concern of states is not for power but for security’
(Waltz 1989: 40). In other words, rather than being power maximizers, according
to Waltz, states are security maximizers. Waltz argues that power maximization
often proves to be sub-optimal because it triggers a counter-balancing
coalition of states.
A different account of
the power dynamics that operate in the anarchic system is provided by John
Mearsheimer’s theory of offensive
realism, which is another variant of structural
realism. While sharing many of the basic assumptions of Waltz’s structural
realist theory (which is frequently termed defensive realism), Mearsheimer differs from Waltz when it comes to
describing the behaviour of states. Most fundamentally, ‘offensive realism
parts company with defensive realism over the question of how much power states
want’ (Mearsheimer 2001: 21). According to Mearsheimer, the structure of the
international system compels states to maximize their relative power position.
Under anarchy, he agrees that self-help is the basic principle of action, yet
Mearsheimer argues that states can never be certain about the intentions of
other states. Consequently, he concludes that all states are continuously
searching for opportunities to gain power at the expense of other states.
Indeed, the ideal position, although one that Mearsheimer argues is virtually
impossible to achieve, is to be the global hegemon of the international system. Yet because global hegemony is
impossible, he concludes that the world is condemned to perpetual great power
competition.
Contemporary realist
challenges to structural realism
While structural realists attribute state
behaviour to the anarchical international system, some contemporary realists
are sceptical of the notion that the distribution of power can sufficiently
explain the behaviour of states. Since the end of the cold war a group of
scholars have attempted to move beyond the parsimonious assumptions of
structural realism and incorporated a number of additional factors, located at
the individual and domestic levels, into their explanation of international
politics. While the relative distribution of power is recognized to be an
important influence on the behaviour of states, so are factors such as the
perceptions of state leaders, state-society relationships, and state identity.
In attempting to build a bridge between structural and unit-level factors
(which many classical realists emphasized), this group of scholars has been
characterized by Gideon Rose (1998) as ‘neoclassical realists’. According to
Stephen Walt, the causal logic of neoclassical
realism ‘places domestic politics as an
intervening variable between the distribution of power and foreign policy
behavior’ (Walt 2002: 211).
One important intervening variable is
leaders themselves, namely how they perceive the distribution of power. There
is no single objective account of the distribution of power; rather, what
matters is how
state leaders derive an understanding of
the distribution of power. While structural realists assume that all states
have a similar set of interests, neoclassical realists such as Randall
Schweller (1996) argue that historically this is not the case. He argues that,
with respect to Waltz, the assumption that all states have an interest in
security results in realism exhibiting a profoundly status quo basis. Schweller
returns to the writings of classical realists to remind us of the key
distinction that they made between status quo and revisionist states.
Neoclassical realists would argue that the fact that Germany was a revisionist
state in the 1930s and a status quo state since the end of the Second World War
is of fundamental importance to understanding its role in the international
system. Not only do states differ in terms of their interests but they also
differ in terms of their ability to extract resources from the societies they
rule. Neoclassical realists argue that states possess different capacities to
translate the various elements of national power into state power. Thus,
contrary to Waltz, all states cannot be treated as Tike units’.
Given the varieties of realism that exist,
it is hardly surprising that the coherence of the realist tradition has been
questioned. The answer to the question of ‘coherence’ is, of course, contingent
on how strict the criteria are for judging the continuities that underpin a particular tradition. It is a mistake to
understand traditions as a single stream of thought, handed down in a neatly wrapped package from one generation
to another. Instead, it is preferable to think of living traditions like
realism as the embodiment of both continuities and conflicts. Despite the
different strands running through the tradition, there is a sense in which all
realists have a common set of
propositions.
Key Points
There is a lack of consensus as to whether
we can meaningfully speak about realism as a single coherent theory.
There are good reasons for delineating
different types of realism.
Structural realism divides into two camps:
those who argue that states are security maximizers (defensive realism), and
those who argue that states are power maximizers (offensive realism).
Neoclassical
realists bring individual and unit variation back into the theory.
The essential
realism
Tbe previous paragraphs have argued that
realism is theoretically broad church, embracing a variety of
Editors and texts. Despite the numerous denominations, we argue that all
realists subscribe to the following ‘three Ss’: statism, survival, and
self-help. Each of these elements is considered in more detail in the next
three subsections.
Statism
For realists, the state is the main actor
and sovereignty is its distinguishing trait. The meaning of the sovereign state
is inextricably bound up with the use of force. Realists concur with Max Weber’s famous definition of the state as ‘the
monopoly of the legitimate use of physical force within a given territory’ (M.
J. Smith 1986: 23). Within this territorial space, sovereignty means that the state has supreme authority to make and
enforce laws. This is the basis of the unwritten contract between individuals
and the state. According to Hobbes, for example, we trade our liberty in return
for a guarantee of security. Once security has been established, civil society can begin. But in the absence of security, there can
be no art, no culture, no society. The first move for the realist, then, is to
organize power domestically.
Realist theory operates according to the
assumption that, domestically, the problem of order and security is largely
solved. However, on the ‘outside’, in the external relations among independent
sovereign states, insecurities, dangers, and threats to the very existence of
the state loom large. Realists attempt to explain this on the basis that the
very condition for order and security— namely, the existence of a sovereign—is
missing from the international realm.
Realists claim that, in anarchy, states
compete with other states for power and security. The nature of the competition
is viewed in zero-sum terms; in other words, more for one actor means less for
another. This competitive logic of power politics makes agreement on universal
principles difficult, apart from the principle of non-intervention in the
internal affairs of other sovereign states. But even this principle, designed
to facilitate coexistence, is suspended by realists, who argue that in practice
non-intervention does not apply in relations between great powers and their
‘near abroad’. As evidenced by the most recent behaviour of the USA in
Afghanistan and Iraq, powerful states are
able to overturn the non-intervention
principle on the grounds of national security and international order.
Given that the first move of the state is
to organize power domestically, and the second is to accumulate power internationally,
it is self-evidently important to consider in more depth what realists mean by
their ubiquitous fusion of politics with power. It is one thing to say that
international politics is a struggle for power, but this merely begs the
question of what realists mean by power. Morgenthau offers the following
definition of power: ‘man’s control over the minds and actions of other men’
([1948] 1955:26). There are two important points that realists make about the
elusive concept of power. First, power is a relational concept: one does not
exercise power in a vacuum, but in relation to another entity. Second, power is
a relative concept: calculations need to be made not only about one’s own power
capabilities, but about the power that other state actors possess. Yet the task
of accurately assessing the power of other states is infinitely complex, and is
often reduced to counting the number of troops, tanks, aircraft, and naval
ships a country possesses in the belief that this translates into the ability
to get other actors to do something they would not otherwise do.
A number of criticisms have been made as
to how realists define and measure power (Schmidt 2005), many of which are
discussed in later chapters. Critics argue that realism has been purchased at a
discount precisely because its currency, power, has remained under-theorized
and inconsistently used. Simply asserting that states seek power provides no
answer to crucial questions. Why do states struggle for power? Surely power is
a means to an end rather than an end in itself? Is there not a difference
between the mere possession of power and the ability to change the behaviour of
others?
Structural realists have
attempted to bring more conceptual clarity to bear on the meaning of power.
Waltz tries to overcome the problem by shifting the focus from power to
capabilities. He suggests that capabilities can be ranked according to their
strength in the following areas: ‘size of population and territory, resource
endowment, economic capability, military strength, political stability and
competence’ (1979: 131). The difficulty here is that resource strength does not
always lead to military victory. For example, in the 1967 Six Day War between
Israel and Egypt, Jordan, and Syria, the distribution of resources clearly
favoured the Arab coalition and yet the supposedly weaker side annihilated its
enemies’ forces and seized their territory. The definition of power as
capabilities is even less successful at explaining how states have used
economic leverage to achieve their goals. A more sophisticated understanding of
power would focus on the ability of a state to control or influence its
environment in situations that are not necessarily conflictual.
An additional weakness of the realist
treatment of power concerns its exclusive focus on state power. For realists,
states are the only actors that really ‘count’. Transnational corporations, international organizations, and ideologically driven terrorist networks such
as A1 Qaeda do not figure very prominently in the realists’ analysis of power.
Yet, given the influence that non-state actors exercise in world politics
today, many question the adequacy of the state-centric assumption of realism.
Survival
The second principle that unites realists
is the assertion that, in world politics, the pre-eminent goal is survival.
Although there is ambiguity in the works of the realists as to whether the
accumulation of power is an end in itself, one would think that there is no
dissenting from the argument that the ultimate concern of states is security.
Survival is held to be a precondition for attaining all other goals, whether
these involve conquest or merely independence. Yet, as we mentioned in the
previous section, a recent controversy among structural realists has arisen
over the question of whether states are, in fact, principally security or power
maximizers. Defensive realists such as Waltz argue that states have security as
their principal interest and therefore seek only the requisite amount of power
to ensure their own survival. According to this view, states are profoundly
defensive actors and will not seek to gain greater amounts of power if that
means jeopardizing their own security. Offensive realists such as Mearsheimer
argue that the ultimate goal of all states is to achieve a hegemonic position
in the international system. According to this view, states always desire more
power and are willing, if the opportunity arises, to alter the existing
distribution of power in their favour. In terms of survival, defensive realists
hold that the existence of status quo powers lessens the competition for
power, while offensive realists argue that the competition is always keen
because revisionist states and aspiring hegemons are always willing to take
risks with the aim of improving their position in the international system.
Niccolo Machiavelli tried to make a
‘science’ out of his reflections on the art of survival. His short and engaging
book, The Prince, was written with the explicit
intention of codifying a set of maxims
that would enable leaders to maintain their hold on power. In important
respects, we find two related Machiavellian themes recurring in the writings of
modern realists, both of which derive from the idea that the realm of
international politics requires different moral and political rules from those
that apply in domestic politics. The task of protecting the state at all costs
(even if this requires sacrificing one’s own citizens), places a heavy burden
on the shoulders of state leaders. In the words of Henry Kissinger, the
academic realist who became Secretary of State during the Nixon Presidency, ‘a
nation’s survival is its first and ultimate responsibility; it cannot be
compromised or put to risk’ (1977: 204). Their guide must be an ethic of responsibility: the careful weighing of consequences; the realization
that individual acts of an immoral kind might have to be performed for the
greater good. By way of an example, think of the ways in which governments
frequently suspend the legal and political rights of ‘suspected terrorists’
in view of the threat they pose to national
security.
Not only does realism provide an
alternative moral code for state leaders, it suggests a wider objection to the
whole enterprise of bringing ethics into international politics. Starting from
the assumption that each state has its own particular values and beliefs,
realists argue that the state is the supreme good and there can be no community
beyond borders. This moral relativism has generated a substantial body of
criticism, particularly from liberal theorists who endorse the notion of universal
human rights. For a fuller discussion see Chapter 7.
Self-help
In the international system, there is no
higher authority to counter the use of force. War is always a possibility
because there is nothing that can prevent a state from using force against
another state. Security can therefore only be realized through self-help. Waltz
(1979: 111) explains that in an anarchic structure, ‘self-help is necessarily
the principle of action’. States must ultimately rely on themselves to achieve
security But in the course of providing for one’s own security, the state in
question will automatically be fuelling the insecurity of other states.
The term given to this spiral of
insecurity is the security dilemma. According to Wheeler and Booth, security
dilemmas exist ‘when the military preparations of one state create an
unresolvable uncertainty in the mind of another as to whether those
preparations are for “defensive” purposes only (to enhance its security in an
uncertain world) or whether they are for offensive purposes (to change the
status quo to its advantage)’ (1992: 30). This scenario suggests that one
state’s quest for security js
often another state’s source of insecurity. States find it difficult to trust
one another and are often suspicious of other states’ intentions. Thus the
military preparations of one state are likely to be matched by those of neighbouring
states. The irony is that, at the end of the day, states often feel no more
secure than before they undertook measures to enhance their own security.
In a self-help system, structural realists
argue that the balance of power will emerge even in the absence of a conscious
policy to maintain the balance. Waltz argues that balances of power result
irrespective of the intentions of any particular state. In an anarchic system
populated by states that seek to perpetuate themselves, alliances will be
formed that seek to balance the power against threatening states. Classical
realists, however, are more likely to emphasize the crucial role that state
leaders and diplomats play in maintaining the balance of power. In other words,
the balance of power is not natural or inevitable; it must be constructed.
Realists and their critics have always
debated the stability of the balance of power system. This is especially the
case today, as many argue that the unipolar position of the USA has made the
balance of power inoperative (Brooks and Wohlforth 2008). It is questionable
whether other countries are willing to balance against the USA, as structural
realism would predict. Whether it is the contrived balance of the Concert of
Europe in the early nineteenth century or the more fortuitous balance of the
cold war, balances of power are broken— either through war or through peaceful
change—and new balances emerge. What the perennial collapsing of the balance of
power demonstrates is that states are at best able to mitigate the worst
consequences of the security dilemma but are not able to escape it. The reason
for this terminal condition is the absence of trust in international relations.
Historically, realists have illustrated
the lack of trust among states by reference to the parable of the ‘stag hunt’.
In Man, the State and War, Kenneth Waltz revisits Rousseau’s parable:
Assume that five men who have acquired a rudimentary
ability to speak and to understand each other happen to come together at a time
when all of them suffer from hunger. The hunger of each will be satisfied by
the fifth part of a stag, so they ‘agree’ to cooperate in a project to trap
one. But also the hunger of any one of them will be satisfied by a hare, so, as
a hare comes within reach, one of them grabs it. The defector obtains the means
of satisfying his hunger but in doing so permits the stag to escape. His
immediate interest prevails over consideration for his fellows.
(1959:167-8)
Waltz argues that the metaphor of the stag
hunt provides a basis for understanding the problem of coordinating the
interests of the individual versus the interests of the common good, and the
pay-off between short-term interests and long-term interests. In the self-help
system of international politics, the logic of self-interest militates against
the provision of collective goods, such as ‘security’ or ‘free trade’. In the
case of the latter, according to the theory of comparative advantage, all
states would be wealthier in a world that allowed free movement of goods and
services across borders. But individual states, or groups of states like the
European Union, can increase their wealth by pursuing protectionist policies.
Of course the logical outcome is for the remaining states to become protectionist;
international trade collapses, and a world recession reduces the wealth of
each state. Thus the question is not whether all will be better off through cooperation, but rather who is likely to gain more than another. It
is because of this concern with relative
gains issues that realists argue that
cooperation is difficult to achieve in a self-help system.
Key Points
Statism is a central assumption of
realism. This involves two claims. First, the state is the pre-eminent actor in
world politics. Second, state sovereignty signifies the existence of an
independent political community, one that has juridical authority over its
territory.
Key criticism: statism is flawed on both
empirical grounds (challenges to state power from 'above' and 'below') and
normative grounds (the inability of sovereign states to respond to collective
global problems such as famine, environmental degradation, and human rights
abuses).
Survival: the primary objective of all
states is survival; this is the supreme national interest to which all
political leaders must adhere.
Key criticism: are there no limits to what
actions a state can take in the name of necessity?
Self-help: no other state or institution
can be relied on to guarantee your survival.
Key criticism: self-help is not an
inevitable consequence of the absence of a world government; it is a logic that
states have selected. Moreover, there are examples where states have preferred
collective security systems, or forms of regional security communities, in
preference to self-help.
Conclusion:
realism and the globalization of world politics
The chapter began by considering the
repeated realist claim that the pattern of international politics—wars
interrupted by periods characterized by the preparation for future wars—has
remained constant over the preceding twenty-five centuries. Realists have
consistently held that the continuities in international relations are more
important than the changes, but many find this to be increasingly problematic
in the present age of globalization (see Ch. 1). But the importance of realism has not been diminished
by the dynamics of globalization. It is not clear that economic interdependence has made war less likely. The state continues to be
the dominant unit in world politics. And globalization should not be seen as a
process that is disconnected from the distribution of power in the
international system.
Realists do not have to situate their
theory of world politics in opposition to globalization per se; rather, what
they offer is a very different conceptualization of the process. Given the
preponderance of power that the USA holds, it should not be a surprise that it
has been one of the foremost proponents of globalization. The core values of
globalization—liberalism, capitalism, and consumerism—are exactly those
espoused by the USA. At a deeper cultural level, realists argue that modernity
is not, as liberals hope, dissolving the boundaries of difference among the
peoples of the world. From classical realists such as Rousseau to structural
realists such as Waltz, protagonists have argued that interdependence is as
likely to breed ‘mutual vulnerability’ as peace and
prosperity. And while questioning the
extent to which the world has become more interdependent in relative terms,
realists insist that the state is not going to be eclipsed by global forces
operating either below or above the nation-state. Nationalism, realists have
continuously reminded us, remains a potent force in world politics.
There are good reasons for thinking that
the twenty- first century will be a realist century. Despite efforts to
rekindle the idealist flame, Europe continues to be as divided by different
national interests as it is united by a common good. In the Middle East, the
slow and painful process of regime change is generating significant
instability across the region, as external powers fuel proxy wars to safeguard
their own vital interests. China continues to emerge as a serious economic and
strategic competitor to the USA: according to the influential Economist
magazine, it will be more economically powerful than the USA by 2019. At that
point, realism leads us to predict that Western norms of individual rights and
responsibilities will be under threat. Rather than transforming global politics
in its own image, as liberalism sought to do in the twentieth century, realism
has the intellectual resources to assert itself as a defensive doctrine which
recognizes that international relations is a realm of value conflicts, and that
responsible statecraft involves careful calibrations of interests. Above all,
realism demands that states’ leaders act prudently— a quality that has been in
short supply in the early part of the twenty-first century.
Study 1
The Melian dialogue-realism and the preparation for war
One of
the significant episodes of the war between Athens and Sparta is known as the
'Melian dialogue', and represents a fascinating illustration of a number of
key realist principles. This case study reconstructs the dialogue between the
Athenian leaders who arrived on the island of Melos to assert their right of
conquest over the islanders, and the response this provoked. In short, what the
Athenians are asserting over the Melians is the iogic of power politics.
Because of their vastly superior military force, they are able to present a
fait accompli to the Melians: either submit peacefully or be exterminated. The
Melians, for their part, try to buck the logic of power politics, appealing in
turn with arguments grounded injustice, God, and their allies the Spartans. As
the dialogue makes clear, the Melians were forced to submit to the realist iron
law that power politics prevails in human affairs.
A short
excerpt from the dialogue appears below (Thucydides 1954] 1972: 401-7). Note
that the symbol [. . .] indicates where words have been omitted from the
original text.
ATHENIANS:
Then we on our side will use no fine phrases saying, for example, that we have
a right to our empire because we defeated the Persians [...] you know as well as we do that, when these matters are
discussed by practical people, the standard of justice
depends on the equality of power to compel and that in fact the strong do what
they have the power to do and the weak accept what they have to accept.
MELIANS:
[...] you should not destroy a principle that is to the general good of all
men-namely, that in the case of all who fall into danger there should be such a
thing as fair play and just dealing [...]
ATHENIANS:
This is no fair fight, with honour on one side and shame on the other. It is
rather a question of saving your lives and not resisting those who are far too
strong for you. MELIANS: It is difficult [. . .] for us to oppose your power
and fortune [. . .] Nevertheless we trust that the gods will give us fortune as
good as yours [...]
ATHENIANS:
Our opinion of the gods and our knowledge of men lead us to conclude that it is
a general and necessary law of nature to rule whatever one can. This is not a
law that we made ourselves, nor were we the first to act upon it when it was
made. We found it already in existence, and we shall leave it to exist forever
among those who come after us. We are merely acting in accordance with it, and
we know that you or anybody else with the same power as ours would be acting in
precisely the same way [...] You seem
to forget that if one follows one's self-interest one wants to be safe, whereas
the path of justice and honour involves one in danger [. . .] This is the safe
rule-to stand up to one's equals, to behave with deference to one's superiors,
and to treat one's inferiors with moderation.
MELIANS:
Our decision, Athenians, is just the same as it was at first. We are not
prepared to give up in a short moment the liberty which our city has enjoyed
from its foundation for 700 years.
ATHENIANS:
[...] you seem to us [. ..] to see
uncertainties as realities, simply because you would like them to be so.
Theory
applied: Visit
the Online Resource Centre to see real world applications of theoretical
perspectives.
Box 6.1
Realism and intra-state war
Since the end of the cold war, intra-state
war (internal conflicts in one state) has become more prevalent than
inter-state war. Since realists generally focus on the latter type of conflict,
critics contend that realism is irrelevant to the predicament of the global
South, which has been wracked by nationalist and ethnic wars. But this is not
the case, and realists have turned their attention to analysing the causes of
intra-state war and recommending solutions.
Structural realists
maintain that when the sovereign authority of the state collapses, such as in
Somalia and Haiti, internal wars happen for many of the same reasons that wars
between states happen. In a fundamental sense, the dichotomy between domestic
order and international disorder breaks down when the state loses the legitimate
authority to rule. The resulting anarchy inside the state is analogous to the
anarchy among states. In such a situation, realist theory contends that the
different groups inside the state will vie for power in an attempt to gain a
sense of security. Barry Posen (1993) has applied the key realist concept of
the security dilemma to explain the political dynamics that result when
different ethnic, religious, and cultural groups suddenly
find themselves responsible for their own
security. He argues that it is natural to expect that security will be their
first priority and that they will seek the means to perpetuate their own
existence. Yet, just as for states, one group's attempt to enhance its security
will create uncertainty in the minds of rival groups, which will in turn seek
to augment their own power. Realists argue that this revolving spiral of
distrust and uncertainty leads to intense security competition and often to
military conflict among the various independent groups who were previously
subject to the sovereign power of the state.
In addition to
analysing the cause of intra-state wars, realists have prescribed solutions.
Unlike many liberal solutions to civil and ethnic wars that rest on
power-sharing agreements and the creation of multi-ethnic states, realists have
advocated separation or partition. For realists, anarchy can be eliminated by
creating a central government. And while the creation of multi-ethnic states
might be a noble endeavour, realists argue that they do not have a very good
success rate. Ethnically homogeneous states are held by realists to be more
stable and less dependent on outside military occupation.
Questions
How does the Melian dialogue represent key
concepts such as self-interest, the balance of power, alliances, capabilities,
empires, and justice?
Do you think there is one realism, or
many?
Do you know more about international
relations now than an Athenian student did during the Peloponnesian War?
Do realists confuse a description of war
and conflict for an explanation of why they occur?
Is realism anything more than the ideology
of powerful, satisfied states?
How would a realist explain the 9/11 wars?
Will Western
governments and their institutions (such as NATO) have to become more realist
if the ideas associated with Western civilization are to survive in the
twenty-first century?
What is at stake in the debate between
defensive and offensive realism?
Is structural realism sufficient to
account for the variation in the behaviour of states?
Can realism help us to understand the
globalization of world politics?
Further Reading
For a general survey of the realist
tradition
Guzzini, S. (1998), Realism in International Relations and
International Political Economy (London: Routledge). Provides an
understanding of the evolution of the realist tradition.
Smith, M. J. (1986), Realist Thought from Weber to Kissinger
(Baton Rouge, LA: Louisiana State University Press). An excellent discussion of
many of the seminal realist thinkers.
Walt, S. M. (2002), The Enduring Relevance
of the Realist Tradition', in I. Katznelson and H. V. Milner (eds), Political Science: The State of the Discipline
(New York: W. W. Norton). An exposition of the realist tradition from one of
its leading proponents.
Twentieth-century classical realism
Carr, E. H. (2001), The Twenty Years'Crisis 1919-1939: An Introduction
to the Study of International Relations (London: Palgrave). An
important critique of liberal idealism.
Morgenthau, H. J. (1948), Politics among Nations: The Struggle for Power and
Peace (New York: Alfred A. Knopf). A foundational text for the
discipline of international relations.
Structural realism
Keohane, R. (ed.) (1986), Neorealism and its Critics (New York:
Columbia University Press). This collection of essays includes key chapters by
Waltz, an interesting defence of realism by Robert Gilpin, and powerful
critiques by Richard Ashley, Robert Cox, and J. G. Ruggie.
Mearsheimer, J. (2001), The Tragedy of Great Power Politics
(New York: W. W. Norton). This is the definitive account of offensive realism.
Waltz, K. (1979), Theory of International Politics
(Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley). This is the exemplar for structural realism.
Neoclassical realism
Rose, G. (1998), 'Neoclassical Realism and
Theories of Foreign Policy' World
Politics, 51: 144-72. An important review article that is credited
with coining the term 'neoclassical realism'.
Lobell, S. E„ Ripsman, N. M., and
Taliaferro, J. W, (eds) (2009), Neoclassical
Realism, the State, and Foreign Policy (Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press). A comprehensive survey of neoclassical realism.
Zakaria, F. (1998), From Wealth to Power: The Unusual Origins of
America's World Role (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press).
Puts forth his theory of state-centric realism.
Online Resource
Centre
Visit the Online Resource Centre that
accompanies this book to access more learning resources on this chapter topic
at www.oxfordtextbooks.co.uk/orc/baylis6exe/
No comments:
Post a Comment